Reasons not to base your Futures-based sports picks on preseason football games: The preseason represents the most exciting time of the year for most sports bettors. With nearly every team playing several exhibition or practice games in the weeks prior to the season, there is a plethora of information available to the casual sports bettor. There are previews of upcoming games, offensive and defensive tendencies by teams, and even individual statistics for every player in the league. All of this leads to one overwhelming trend- many bettors will place their entire bets on the first few weeks of the season because they are so impressed with the talent level of the teams and their overall performance.
After the first few weeks of the season, however, the quality of play for each team becomes more difficult to evaluate. It’s also more difficult to make long-term predictions about which teams will be good and which will actually win the games. Many bettors become frustrated at this point because they’ve lost several good bets based on flawed logic. Once the pregame line is broken, most bettors will go back to making their long-term predictions.
Sports Picks: Sports Betting Reality
In other words, there’s no such thing as a safe bet these days. Any given play doesn’t have to be a good one for a certain team to be successful. In fact, the best plays in the game can occur during the regular season, but you’ll never know until you see it. That’s why you should look beyond the first few weeks of the season to find plays that have the potential to be profitable.
One way to do that is by focusing on teams that aren’t expected to be as good as they look. Most experts will tell you to ignore a team’s record in the pregame injury report. They say that players tend to bounce back better after missing time, and a healthy player is more likely to play better than an injured player. That’s a good rule to follow, but there are instances when ignoring the injury report is a big mistake.
For instance, a team that just lost three straight games may seem fine after losing to an injury-shortened opponent in week seven, but then goes on to lose its next two games and its final game of the year to a team that has struggled through injuries and missed time due to injury. Over the last three weeks, the opposing team has outscored the Saints by a combined margin of 45 points. If you were to pick the Saints to win their next two games, you would be giving yourself the chance of making a major profit. Why do you think the Saints would bounce back in their next two games?
What You Need To Know From Experts
Most experts will tell you to base your season-long predictions on the overall record of the team in question, and while this is a sound strategy, it is not the only one. It is also best not to trust injuries to prevent big wins. Injuries can take the fun out of a game, and depending on the team, sometimes the entire roster can be out for the season. That means if the starting quarterback gets hurt, or if any other key players are struggling with injuries, the team could be in trouble without their top running back or some other star wide receiver or quarterback. Even the best teams sometimes cannot make the right decisions, and they are unable to overcome the unexpected.
Other players and positions might fare better based on their injury histories. Running backs are generally known to bounce back after missing time due to injury. Quarterbacks with underdeveloped speed and/or arm strength are better capable of throwing the ball on short or deep passes if their teams have invested in reliable No. 1 receivers and running backs.
Lessons Learned For Future Sports Picks
So those are the main reasons not to base your future sports picks on preseason predictions. There are no guarantees in sports, and no team is ever guaranteed to win. The predictions can be helpful in determining what type of run the team will have, but there is no sure thing. The best way to build a successful team is through smart planning and a commitment to a season-long commitment to winning. However, if you do choose to base your team-building decisions on preseason predictions, know that you have a great opportunity to build a powerhouse team and a good chance of making the playoffs.
